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José Manuel Rosado
Voter

José Manuel Rosado

61 years old · Near Mértola, Baixo Alentejo

Small farmer (sheep, cork, olives)

Persona: Interior Alentejo Farmer

José Manuel Rosado

Quick Profile

Attribute Value
Name José Manuel Rosado
Age 61
Gender Male
Location Near Mértola, Baixo Alentejo
Occupation Small farmer (sheep, cork, olives)
Education 6th grade (left school to work farm)
Housing Owns family farmhouse (inherited)
Family Widower, two sons (one in Lisbon, one in Switzerland)
Voter Status Portuguese citizen - can vote

Background Narrative

José Manuel was born in the same house where his grandfather was born. His family has worked this land for four generations. He remembers when Mértola had three cafés, a cinema, a school with 200 children. Now the school closed five years ago, one café remains, and the population is mostly over 60.

He lost his wife Maria to cancer three years ago—she had to travel to Beja for treatment, then Lisbon when it got serious. The nearest hospital is 90 minutes away. His sons begged him to sell the farm and move to the city, but this land is who he is. He can't imagine being anywhere else, even as the summers get hotter, the droughts longer, and his body protests the work.

He employs three workers now—all from Nepal. Twenty years ago, they would have been local boys. José Manuel treats them fairly, pays above minimum wage, helped one get his paperwork sorted. But sometimes, looking across the fields at workers who don't speak his language, he wonders what happened to Portugal.


Economic Situation

Aspect Detail
Income level Lower-middle (variable, ~€15,000-20,000/year)
Income source Farm income + EU subsidies + small pension
Financial stress Moderate (land-rich, cash-modest)
Housing cost burden None (owns outright)
Economic trajectory Declining (physically demanding, uncertain future)

Values Profile (Schwartz Framework)

Higher-Order Values

Dimension Rating Expression
Self-Transcendence 3 Cares for his workers, community; but "us first" instinct
Self-Enhancement 2 Not ambitious; wants respect, not power
Openness to Change 1 Deeply change-resistant; tradition is identity
Conservation 5 Security, tradition, conformity all paramount

Specific Values (Top 3 priorities)

  1. Tradition: The land, the old ways, continuity with ancestors
  2. Security: Physical safety, economic stability, health access
  3. Benevolence: Family, community, loyalty to those close to him

Moral Politics Frame (Lakoff)

Primary frame: Strict Father

Expression: José Manuel believes in hard work, discipline, and earning your place. He respects authority—the church, the state (when it works), elders. He thinks young people today don't understand sacrifice. But he also feels abandoned by authorities who should protect rural Portugal.


Information Ecosystem

Source Type Specific Sources Trust Level
TV RTP1, CMTV, SIC High
Online Rarely—sons send WhatsApp links Low (unfamiliar)
Social Media WhatsApp (family group) Medium
Print Regional newspaper occasionally Medium
Community Café conversations, church, neighbors Very High

Media consumption pattern: TV news at lunch and dinner. Trusts what he sees on screen more than internet. Gets most political opinions from café conversations with the few remaining neighbors.


Political Profile

Voting History

Election Vote Reasoning
2024 Legislative Chega "Time to shake things up, they forgot us"
2022 Legislative PSD "Anyone but PS"
2021 Presidential Marcelo "Decent man"
Historical pattern PCP family → PSD → now Chega

Political Identity

  • Left-Right self-placement: 7/10 (right-leaning, recent shift)
  • Party identification: Was PSD; now Chega-sympathetic
  • Political engagement: Low-Moderate—always votes, rarely other engagement

2026 Presidential Inclination

  • Current leaning: Ventura (likely) or Gouveia e Melo
  • Certainty: Leaning
  • Key deciding factors: Who speaks for forgotten rural Portugal; immigration stance

Top Concerns (Ranked)

  1. Rural abandonment: "They're letting us die here. No services, no future, nothing."
  2. Healthcare distance: "If I have a heart attack, I'm dead before the ambulance arrives."
  3. Climate/drought: "The summers are killing us. Used to rain in May. Not anymore."
  4. Immigration changes: "These boys work hard, but who will they marry? This isn't their home."
  5. Farm succession: "When I die, what happens to this land? My sons won't come back."

Hopes

For himself:

"I want to die on this land, not in some Lisbon hospital where nobody knows my name. I want to work until I can't, then rest where my wife is buried."

For Portugal:

"I hope someone remembers that Portugal isn't just Lisbon and Porto. That the interior matters. That we built this country too."

For his sons:

"I hope they're happy where they are. I understand why they left. I just wish... I wish they didn't have to."


Fears

Personal fears:

"Dying alone. Having a stroke and lying there for days before anyone notices. Being a burden."

Fears for Portugal:

"That in 20 years, the Alentejo will be empty. Just ghost villages and solar panels. That everything my family built will become nothing."

Deepest fear (often unspoken):

"That I was wrong to stay. That my stubbornness kept my sons from having a father nearby. That this land isn't worth what I sacrificed."


"In Their Own Voice"

How he'd describe Portugal today:

"Two countries. The coast where everything happens, and the interior where everything disappears. They come here to photograph our villages like a museum, take pictures of old men like me, then drive back to their apartments with running water and hospitals nearby."

What he'd say to someone who disagrees with him politically:

"Easy to have opinions in Lisbon where everything works. Come live here a year. No bus, no doctor, no young people. Then tell me what you think about immigration quotas."

His message to politicians:

"Just once, come here without cameras. Stay a week. See how we live. Then maybe you'll understand why we're angry enough to vote for anyone who remembers we exist."


Scenario Response Predictions

Candidate Predicted Response Key Trigger
Ventura Positive Speaks to abandonment; immigration concerns; anti-elite
Gouveia e Melo Moderately Positive Military discipline, order—respectable
Marques Mendes Neutral Same old PSD that forgot interior
Seguro Negative PS abandoned us; Lisbon party
Catarina Martins Negative "City people with city ideas"
Cotrim Figueiredo Negative "For the rich"
António Filipe Mixed PCP roots in Alentejo; but party feels old

Notes for Scenario Development

  • The dying interior archetype—last generation on the land
  • Complex relationship with immigrant workers (needs them, unsettled by change)
  • Widower isolation and healthcare vulnerability
  • Strong potential for "Day in the Future" vignettes—daily routines, seasonal cycles
  • Could interact with: Nepali workers, sons via video call, surviving neighbors, young urban visitors
  • Multiple scenario trajectories: sells land, dies on farm, new policies bring support